Technical Report Documentation Page

1. Report No.
FHWA-RD-98-165
2. Government Accession No. 3. Recipient's Catalog No.
4. Title and Subtitle
GUIDEBOOK ON METHODS TO ESTIMATE NON-MOTORIZED TRAVEL:
OVERVIEW OF METHODS
5. Report Date
July 1999
6. Performing Organization Code
7. Author(s)
WL Schwartz, CD Porter, GC Payne, JH Suhrbier, PC Moe, WL Wilkinson III
8. Performing Organization Report No.
9. Performing Organization Name and Address
Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Bicycle Federation of America
150 Cambridge Park Dr., Ste 4000 1506 21st St., NW, Ste. 200
Cambridge, MA 02140 Washington, DC 20036
10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS)
3A4B
11. Contract or Grant No.
DTFH61-92-C-00138
12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address
Federal Highway Administration
Turner-Fairbanks Highway Research Center
6300 Georgetown Pike
McLean, VA 22101-2296

13. Type of Report and Period Covered
Final Report
July 1, 1997 - February 28, 1999
14. Sponsoring Agency Code
15. Supplementary Notes
Contracting Officer's Technical Representatives (COTR's): Carol Tan Esse and Ann Do
16. Abstract

This guidebook provides a means for practitioners to better understand and estimate bicycle and pedestrian travel and to address transportation planning needs. The guidebook describes and compares the various methods that can be used to forecast non-motorized travel demand or that otherwise support the prioritization and analyses of non-motorized projects. These methods are categorized according to four major purposes: (1) demand estimation; (2) relative demand potential; (3) supply quality analysis; and (4) supporting tools and techniques. Discrete choice models, regional travel models, sketch plan methods, facility demand potential, bicycle compatibility measures, and geographic information systems are among the methods and tools described.

Overview of Methods provides a concise overview for each available method, including some typical applications, pros and cons, and a quick reference guide on ease of use, data requirements, sensitivity to design factors, and whether widely used. In addition, it discusses general issues for consideration in forecasting non-motorized travel demand, such as the dimensions of travel behavior and factors influencing bicycling and walking, and identifies future needs in this area.

Supporting Documentation provides substantially more detail on the methods including purpose, structure, input/data needs, assumptions, and real-world applications. It also contains an extensive annotated bibliography of references on demand forecasting methods, supporting tools and techniques, and factors influencing the choice to walk or bicycle, as well as potential contacts in this field.

17. Key Words:
Bicycle, pedestrian, travel demand, forecasting methods, estimate.
18. Distribution Statement
No restrictions. This document is available to the public through the National Technical Information Services, Springfield, VA 22161
19. Security Classif. (of this report)
Unclassified
20. Security Classif. (of this page)
Unclassified
21. No. of Pages
22. Price
Form DOT F 1700.7 (8-72) Reproduction of form and completed page is authorized
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